Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.036223 0.039122 0.042165 0.045601 0.049378 0.053411 0.058049
2025-03-23 0.031238 0.035281 0.039758 0.045102 0.051332 0.058394 0.067049
2025-03-30 0.027888 0.032562 0.037948 0.044654 0.052835 0.062560 0.075098
2025-04-06 0.025159 0.030152 0.036092 0.043741 0.053423 0.065389 0.081485
2025-04-13 0.023649 0.028998 0.035543 0.044231 0.055596 0.070152 0.090517
2025-04-20 0.022188 0.027747 0.034713 0.044206 0.056992 0.073893 0.098388
2025-04-27 0.021186 0.026977 0.034398 0.044760 0.059105 0.078643 0.107937
2025-05-04 0.020015 0.025888 0.033563 0.044513 0.060043 0.081769 0.115359
2025-05-11 0.019013 0.024951 0.032850 0.044347 0.061030 0.084966 0.123072
2025-05-18 0.018083 0.024047 0.032113 0.044073 0.061798 0.087843 0.130472
2025-05-25 0.017302 0.023299 0.031537 0.043969 0.062774 0.091049 0.138597
2025-06-01 0.016418 0.022354 0.030624 0.043302 0.062832 0.092813 0.144490
2025-06-08 0.015530 0.021369 0.029611 0.042437 0.062545 0.094040 0.149647
2025-06-15 0.014840 0.020635 0.028923 0.042018 0.062917 0.096327 0.156787
2025-06-22 0.014208 0.019954 0.028276 0.041616 0.063272 0.098585 0.164044
2025-06-29 0.013509 0.019140 0.027388 0.040779 0.062854 0.099496 0.168917
2025-07-06 0.013189 0.018878 0.027318 0.041229 0.064574 0.104144 0.181077
2025-07-13 0.012774 0.018451 0.026972 0.041207 0.065485 0.107431 0.190944
2025-07-20 0.012512 0.018245 0.026955 0.041716 0.067326 0.112484 0.204718
2025-07-27 0.012096 0.017783 0.026513 0.041489 0.067857 0.115182 0.214021
2025-08-03 0.011723 0.017371 0.026130 0.041337 0.068504 0.118124 0.224086
2025-08-10 0.011350 0.016944 0.025704 0.041085 0.068948 0.120699 0.233614
2025-08-17 0.011030 0.016590 0.025379 0.040989 0.069666 0.123839 0.244658